![]() It had been consistently bad when anyone other than Jonathan Bernier was in the crease. The biggest issue with the Red Wings and their defense-first system has been inconsistent goaltending. While the 6-8 mark isn’t overly impressive, a 5-2 home record going into the first game is a little more appealing in a home underdog. While the Predators have had an impressive 12-game stretch to get themselves back into a playoff spot, the Red Wings are 6-8 in their last 14, which gave themselves some credibility in the market that they’ve been lacking all season long as the last-place team in the division. Even still, the Red Wings had a 2-1 lead going into the third period only to allow a power play goal that tied the game, which sent the game to overtime and a shootout, which the Predators one. The Predators converted on theirs, while the Red Wings didn’t. The Predators’ run almost ran ashore of the Detroit River Tuesday night, as the two teams split the 12 total even-strength High-Danger Chances in the game. Anything below 50% is usually a sign that a team is struggling to control play. Simply put, an expected goals rate (xGF%) above 50% is considered good because it means a team is creating the majority of the scoring chances. This leads us to believe this is less of a run of success and more of a run of luck.īetMGM Tennessee Offer: Get $600 FREE to Bet the Predators Read nowĮxpected goals (also known as xG) is a predictive statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as shooting luck or outstanding goaltending. This 14.4% conversion rate has raised their season-long efficiency to 11%. Offensively, the Predators haven’t found some magic dust from a creation standpoint, but have instead perhaps ingested some magic beans in scoring on 13 of their 90 HDC at even-strength. The important takeaway, though, is that while the defense and goaltending has come to form, it’s currently performing at an unsustainable rate. This has allowed veteran Pekka Rinne to play every third game, a more palatable usage for a goalie pushing 40 years old. 1 goaltender role that he struggled with at the start of the season. Preds goaltenders have held teams to a conversion rate of almost half the league average, allowing goals on just 7.7% of High-Danger Chances. The reason they’ve been able to win games is due to their opponents’ inability to convert on those chances. In fact, the Predators have earned just 45.7% of the Expected Goals at even-strength in these games. A 10-2 stretch in their last 12 games has helped them achieve their place in the standings, though that’s not necessarily a harbinger of things to come.ĭuring this run of success for the Predators, they’ve created a total of 90 High-Danger Chances at even-strength, while their opponents have racked up 103. The Nashville Predators are clinging to the fourth and final playoff spot in the Central Division.
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